UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus
Columbus, USA
26 Mar 2022
Heavyweight
VS
56%
Blaydes
44%
Daukaus
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Blaydes
This is a genuine toss-up — Blaydes at 56% vs Daukaus at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Daukaus has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Daukaus throws more volume but Blaydes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Blaydes's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Daukaus has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Blaydes
Daukaus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
80"+
Reach
76"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blaydes
Daukaus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.9
41.9
53.4
Performance Avg
55.2
42
Quality of Victory
59
81
Momentum Score
59
Blaydes
Daukaus
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
3.8
56%
Strike Accuracy
55%
6.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Blaydes
Daukaus
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Blaydes
Daukaus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
12
KO risk
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/25 fights
Chin rating based on
8/19 fights
Blaydes
Daukaus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
59
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Blaydes
Daukaus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blaydes
Daukaus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
BlaydesDaukaus
Strike Zones
Blaydes
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedDaukaus
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blaydes targets the head (86% of attacks) — Daukaus absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Daukaus targets the head (100% of attacks) — Blaydes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blaydes
RND
Daukaus
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Blaydes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Daukaus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Blaydes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Josh HokitRating 7.5Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
Daukaus · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
W · KO · R2
Shamil AbdurakhimovRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09