UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
23 Jan 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
29%
Eye
71%
Wood
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Wood
Wood is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Wood has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Eye's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Wood has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Eye
Wood
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"+
Reach
65"
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Eye
Wood
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
38.5
28.6
Performance Avg
39.8
26
Quality of Victory
31
30
Momentum Score
68
Eye
Wood
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
3.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
53%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
12
8
Body
13
0
Leg
10
RangeRange
3Distance23
7Clinch12
0Ground0
Eye
Wood
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Eye
Wood
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
34
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
17/25 fights
Eye
Wood
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
68
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Eye
Wood
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
22%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Eye
Wood
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
EyeWood
Strike Zones
Eye
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedWood
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Eye targets the body (80% of attacks) — Wood absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Wood targets the body (37% of attacks) — Eye absorbs 37% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Eye
RND
Wood
0/0R00/0
Eye · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Wood · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Eye · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 5.7Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R5
Cynthia CalvilloRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
Wood · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Maryna MorozRating 5.1Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Luana CarolinaRating 5.1Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R1
Alexa GrassoRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · Sub · R1
Taila SantosRating 1.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06