METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta
Milwaukee, USA
15 Dec 2018
Heavyweight
VS
48%
Rocha
52%
Adams
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:58
★ Official Result
Juan AdamswinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:58
def. Chris de la Rocha · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Adams
→
Actual result
Adams wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rocha at 48% vs Adams at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Adams has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rocha's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Adams has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RochaAdams
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rocha
Adams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
80"
Reach
80"
47
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rocha
Adams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
16.4
43.0
Performance Avg
40.0
55
Quality of Victory
50
22
Momentum Score
43
Rocha
Adams
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
59%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
13
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance7
0Clinch8
0Ground0
Rocha
Adams
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Rocha
Adams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/8 fights
Chin rating based on
4/8 fights
Rocha
Adams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
43
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Rocha
Adams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rocha
Adams
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
RochaAdams
Strike Zones
Rocha
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedAdams
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rocha targets the head (100% of attacks) — Adams absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Adams targets the head (87% of attacks) — Rocha absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rocha
RND
Adams
0/0R00/0
Rocha · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Adams · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Rocha · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Juan AdamsRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
W · KO · R2
Rashad CoulterRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R2
Adam MilsteadRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · KO · R1
Daniel OmielanczukRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
Adams · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Justin TafaRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
L · KO · R1
Greg HardyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Arjan BhullarRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · KO · R3
Chris de la RochaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12