UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
Fairfax, USA
11 Jan 2010
Lightweight
VS
70%
Anjos
30%
Bradley
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
32 – 17
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
KB
Kyle Bradley
19 – 12
Knockout Artist43 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Anjos

Anjos is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Bradley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Anjos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Anjos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Bradley has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Anjos
Bradley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
+71"
41+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Anjos
Bradley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.8
16.4
47.7
Performance Avg
46.0
41
Quality of Victory
60
49
Momentum Score
22
Anjos
Bradley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
0
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch2
11Ground0
Anjos
Bradley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anjos
Bradley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
36/49 fights
Chin rating based on
4/31 fights
Anjos
Bradley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
22
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Anjos
Bradley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anjos
Bradley
Striking3.1 / 10.0Volume5.7 / 0.5Grappling3.3 / 0.0Wrestling2.3 / 0.0Submission2.4 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Anjos
Strike Zones
Bradley
Anjos
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Bradley
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anjos targets the head (86% of attacks) — Bradley absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Bradley targets the body (67% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anjos
RND
Bradley
0/0R00/0

Anjos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L6.0L4.5W5.6W4.8W6.8L6.6L5.4W6.6L6.3L4.5W5.3W5.0L5.7W7.0L6.6L2.5L2008-112012-072015-122019-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Bradley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L2.8L5.0W5.7L2008-022008-092009-052010-01
WinLossTrend

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

Bradley · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
W · KO · R1
Phillipe NoverRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · KO · R2
Joe LauzonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
Chris LytleRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02

News & Media

Rafael Dos Anjos · Kyle Bradley
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