METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2015
Bantamweight
VS
60%
Faber
40%
Saenz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Urijah FaberwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Frankie Saenz · UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Faber
→
Actual result
Faber wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Faber holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Saenz has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Faber has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Faber's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Saenz has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FaberSaenz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Faber
Saenz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
67"+
Reach
66"
47
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Faber
Saenz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.8
13.7
49.4
Performance Avg
35.0
42
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
75
Faber
Saenz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
1.5
4.1
Style: Volume
9.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
10
4
Body
6
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
16Distance15
3Clinch5
1Ground0
Faber
Saenz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
5.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Faber
Saenz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/46 fights
Chin rating based on
10/20 fights
Faber
Saenz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
75
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Faber
Saenz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Faber
Saenz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
FaberSaenz
Strike Zones
Faber
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedSaenz
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Faber targets the head (80% of attacks) — Saenz absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Saenz targets the head (50% of attacks) — Faber absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Faber
RND
Saenz
0/0R00/0
Faber · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Petr YanKO/TKO
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Ricky SimonKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraDecision
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L · Dec · R5
Dominick CruzDecision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
Saenz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jonathan MartinezKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Marlon VeraKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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