METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
Charlotte, USA
13 May 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Smith
46%
Walker
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Johnny WalkerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Anthony Smith · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smith
→
Actual result
Walker wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Smith at 54% vs Walker at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Walker has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SmithWalker
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Smith
Walker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'6"
76"
Reach
+82"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Walker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.3
50.4
50.7
Performance Avg
54.6
50
Quality of Victory
56
100
Momentum Score
41
Smith
Walker
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
8.6
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
7.7
2.3
Style: Volume
2.1
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
9
6
Body
2
1
Leg
22
RangeRange
10Distance31
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Smith
Walker
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smith
Walker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/60 fights
Chin rating based on
17/32 fights
Smith
Walker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
41
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Smith
Walker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
77%
88%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
5
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Walker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.6
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
SmithWalker
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedWalker
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the body (60% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Walker targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Walker
0/0R00/0
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Zhang MingyangKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoSubmission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
Walker · Last 5
Upcoming
Mick ParkinUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Dominick ReyesDecision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Zhang MingyangKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Magomed AnkalaevKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01