UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2
Las Vegas, USA
21 Nov 2009
Middleweight
VS
51%
Grove
49%
Rosholt
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Grove
This is a genuine toss-up — Grove at 51% vs Rosholt at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Grove throws more volume but Rosholt connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Grove's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grove
Rosholt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'1"
79"
Reach
43+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grove
Rosholt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
17.6
53.6
Performance Avg
40.3
53
Quality of Victory
45
52
Momentum Score
52
Grove
Rosholt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.7
43%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
2
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance0
2Clinch4
1Ground1
Grove
Rosholt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Grove
Rosholt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/40 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
Grove
Rosholt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
Grove
Rosholt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grove
Rosholt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
GroveRosholt
Strike Zones
Grove
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedRosholt
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grove targets the body (67% of attacks) — Rosholt absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Rosholt targets the head (40% of attacks) — Grove absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grove
RND
Rosholt
0/0R00/0
Grove · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Rosholt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Grove · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 5.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · Dec · R3
Goran ReljicRating 4.5Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · KO · R2
Mark MunozRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Sub · R1
Jake RosholtRating 5Submission
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
Rosholt · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Kendall GroveRating 1.5Submission
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
W · Sub · R3
Chris LebenRating 5.5Submission
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
L · Sub · R1
Dan MillerRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02