METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie
Kallang, Singapore
26 Aug 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Smith
43%
Spann
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Anthony SmithwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ryan Spann · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smith
→
Actual result
Smith wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Smith at 57% vs Spann at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Spann throws more volume but Smith connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Spann has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SmithSpann
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Smith
Spann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'5"
76"
Reach
+79"
37
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Spann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.3
43.3
50.7
Performance Avg
54.8
50
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
10
Smith
Spann
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
40%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
18
7
Body
5
13
Leg
4
RangeRange
45Distance27
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Smith
Spann
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
Spann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
8
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/60 fights
Chin rating based on
16/35 fights
Smith
Spann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
10
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Smith
Spann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
77%
80%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Spann
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
SmithSpann
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedSpann
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (56% of attacks) — Spann absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Spann targets the head (67% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Spann
0/0R00/0
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Spann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Zhang MingyangRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Dominick ReyesRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.1Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
Spann · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Marcus BuchechaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.6Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Bogdan GuskovRating 4.8KO/TKO
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