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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders
Sao Paulo, Brazil
22 Sept 2018
Middleweight
VS
58%
Leites
42%
Lombard
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TL
Thales Leites
289
6'1"78" reachOrthodox45 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
HL
Hector Lombard
3410
Striker6-fight slide48 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'9"
CFR 12
★ Official Result
Thales LeiteswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Hector Lombard · UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Leites
Actual result
Leites wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Leites at 58% vs Lombard at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Leites's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lombard has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LeitesLombard
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Leites
Lombard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
78"+
Reach
71"
45+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Leites
Lombard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
11.7
48.8
Performance Avg
39.9
40
Quality of Victory
48
35
Momentum Score
0
Leites
Lombard
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
7.2
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
5.5
4.9
Style: Volume
3.2
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
8
9
Body
3
9
Leg
5
RangeRange
23Distance13
7Clinch3
0Ground0
Leites
Lombard
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leites
Lombard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
24
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
21/37 fights
Chin rating based on
12/44 fights
Leites
Lombard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
0
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Leites
Lombard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Leites
Lombard
Striking2.8 / 7.2Volume4.9 / 3.2Grappling4.2 / 0.8Wrestling2.9 / 0.6Submission3.9 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.2
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
Leites
Strike Zones
Lombard
Leites
Attacking
12HEAD9BODY9LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY5LEGS16 absorbed
Lombard
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY5LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD9BODY9LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Leites targets the head (40% of attacks) — Lombard absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Lombard targets the head (50% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Leites
RND
Lombard
0/0R00/0

Leites · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Hector Lombard
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack Hermansson
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad Tavares
Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam Alvey
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof Jotko
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11

Lombard · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thales Leites
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · R1
CB Dollaway
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R3
Anthony Smith
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Johny Hendricks
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · KO · R2
Dan Henderson
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06

News & Media

Thales Leites · Hector Lombard
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