UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders
Sao Paulo, Brazil
22 Sept 2018
Middleweight
VS
58%
Leites
42%
Lombard
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TL
Thales Leites
28 – 9
6'1"78" reachOrthodox44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
HL
Hector Lombard
34 – 10
Striker6-fight slide48 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'9"
CFR 12

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Leites

This is a genuine toss-up — Leites at 58% vs Lombard at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lombard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Leites's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lombard has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Leites
Lombard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
78"+
Reach
71"
44+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Leites
Lombard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
11.7
48.8
Performance Avg
39.9
40
Quality of Victory
48
35
Momentum Score
0
Leites
Lombard
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.2
39%
Strike Accuracy
47%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
8
9
Body
3
9
Leg
5
RangeRange
23Distance13
7Clinch3
0Ground0
Leites
Lombard
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.2
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leites
Lombard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
24
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/37 fights
Chin rating based on
12/44 fights
Leites
Lombard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
0
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Leites
Lombard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Leites
Lombard
Striking2.8 / 7.2Volume4.9 / 3.2Grappling4.2 / 0.8Wrestling2.9 / 0.6Submission3.9 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.2
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
Leites
Strike Zones
Lombard
Leites
Attacking
12HEAD9BODY9LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY5LEGS16 absorbed
Lombard
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY5LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD9BODY9LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Leites targets the head (40% of attacks) — Lombard absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Lombard targets the head (50% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Leites
RND
Lombard
0/0R00/0

Leites · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.7W5.0W5.2W5.2W5.5L5.5L5.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.9L4.5W2006-112009-042015-012017-102018-09
WinLossTrend

Lombard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.6L2.8L5.5L5.2L4.0L5.5L2012-072013-102016-062018-032018-09
WinLossTrend

Leites · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack HermanssonRating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11

Lombard · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · R1
CB DollawayRating 4
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R3
Anthony SmithRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HendersonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06

News & Media

Thales Leites · Hector Lombard
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