METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
Las Vegas, USA
28 May 2011
Heavyweight
VS
53%
Mir
47%
Nelson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Frank MirwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Roy Nelson · UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mir
→
Actual result
Mir wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Mir at 53% vs Nelson at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Mir's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nelson has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MirNelson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mir
Nelson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
73"
47+
Age
50
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mir
Nelson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.2
18.5
57.4
Performance Avg
55.6
56
Quality of Victory
61
88
Momentum Score
26
Mir
Nelson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
9.8
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
7.6
2.2
Style: Volume
1.8
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
1
3
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance2
3Clinch1
9Ground0
Mir
Nelson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.2
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
8
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mir
Nelson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
8
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/29 fights
Chin rating based on
19/36 fights
Mir
Nelson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Mir
Nelson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
81%
89%
5
KO / TKO Wins
8
8
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mir
Nelson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.8
MirNelson
Strike Zones
Mir
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedNelson
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mir targets the head (73% of attacks) — Nelson absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Nelson targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Mir absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mir
RND
Nelson
0/0R00/0
Mir · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mark HuntKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiDecision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Alistair OvereemDecision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
Nelson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovDecision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · KO · R2
Antonio SilvaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Jared RosholtDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R5
Josh BarnettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09