UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado
Sao Paulo, Brazil
31 May 2014
Featherweight
VS
73%
Souza
27%
Eddiva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:52
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Souza
Souza is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Souza has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Souza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Eddiva has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Souza
Eddiva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
68"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Souza
Eddiva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.6
8.6
58.0
Performance Avg
25.0
47
Quality of Victory
25
96
Momentum Score
17
Souza
Eddiva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
44%
8.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
7
7
Body
2
0
Leg
18
RangeRange
39Distance25
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Souza
Eddiva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Souza
Eddiva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Souza
Eddiva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
96
17
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Souza
Eddiva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Souza
Eddiva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
SouzaEddiva
Strike Zones
Souza
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedEddiva
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Souza targets the head (83% of attacks) — Eddiva absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Eddiva targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Souza
RND
Eddiva
0/0R00/0
Souza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Eddiva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Souza · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Chas SkellyRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Katsunori KikunoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
W · KO · R2
Mark EddivaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Felipe ArantesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
Eddiva · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Dan HookerRating 2.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Levan MakashviliRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · KO · R2
Edimilson SouzaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
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