UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson
Stockholm, Sweden
24 Jan 2015
Welterweight
VS
61%
Robertson
39%
Aliev
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:42
KR
Kenny Robertson
15 – 5
5'10"74" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
SA
Sultan Aliev
15 – 3
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Robertson

Robertson holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Aliev has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Robertson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.

Robertson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Robertson
Aliev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
74"
Reach
74"
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Robertson
Aliev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
12.5
46.7
Performance Avg
35.0
48
Quality of Victory
25
69
Momentum Score
39
Robertson
Aliev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
5
2
Body
3
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance6
2Clinch2
2Ground0
Robertson
Aliev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Robertson
Aliev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Robertson
Aliev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Robertson
Aliev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Robertson
Aliev
Striking3.4 / 1.0Volume2.9 / 9.0Grappling4.6 / 2.4Wrestling3.2 / 1.7Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure6.6 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Robertson
Strike Zones
Aliev
Robertson
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY4LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Aliev
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY4LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Robertson targets the head (57% of attacks) — Aliev absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Aliev targets the head (63% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Robertson
RND
Aliev
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Robertson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L5.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L2011-022013-062015-012016-09
WinLossTrend

Aliev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0101.5L4.5W5.0L4.5W2015-012016-122018-052019-04
WinLossTrend

Robertson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Roan CarneiroRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Ben SaundersRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Sultan AlievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Ildemar AlcantaraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
W · Sub · R1
Thiago PerpetuoRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

Aliev · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Keita NakamuraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
L · R2
Warlley AlvesRating 5
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Bojan VelickovicRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · KO · R1
Kenny RobertsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Kenny Robertson · Sultan Aliev
← Back to fights