METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
New York City, USA
16 Nov 2024
Lightweight
VS
89%
Onama
11%
Romero
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
David OnamawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Roberto Romero · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Onama
→
Actual result
Onama wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Onama is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Onama has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OnamaRomero
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Onama
Romero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
70"
32
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Onama
Romero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.1
6.1
50.6
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Onama
Romero
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.3
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
3
8
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
22Distance9
0Clinch0
19Ground0
Onama
Romero
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Onama
Romero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Onama
Romero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Onama
Romero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Onama
Romero
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
OnamaRomero
Strike Zones
Onama
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedRomero
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Onama targets the head (78% of attacks) — Romero absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Romero targets the head (33% of attacks) — Onama absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Onama
RND
Romero
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Onama · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Steve GarciaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Roberto RomeroDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Gabriel SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Romero · Last 2
L · KO · R2
Timmy CuambaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
David OnamaDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11