UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
New York City, USA
16 Nov 2024
Lightweight
VS
89%
Onama
11%
Romero
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
David
David Onama
14 – 3
5'11"74" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Roberto
Roberto Romero
"El Charro Negro"
8 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide26 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 6

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Onama

Onama is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Onama has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Onama has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Onama
Romero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
70"
31
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Onama
Romero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.1
6.1
50.6
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Onama
Romero
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
3
8
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
22Distance9
0Clinch0
19Ground0
Onama
Romero
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Onama
Romero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Onama
Romero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Onama
Romero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Onama
Romero
Striking4.7 / 0.0Volume5.3 / 0.0Grappling2.5 / 0.0Wrestling1.8 / 0.0Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Onama
Strike Zones
Romero
Onama
Attacking
32HEAD8BODY1LEGS41 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Romero
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD8BODY1LEGS41 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Onama targets the head (78% of attacks) — Romero absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Romero targets the head (33% of attacks) — Onama absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Onama
RND
Romero
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Onama · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0106.5L5.2W5.4W6.2L6.0W5.0W4.5W5.5W3.4L2021-102022-082024-112025-11
WinLossTrend

Romero · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.3L3.1L2024-112025-04
WinLossTrend

Onama · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Steve GarciaRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Roberto RomeroRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Gabriel SantosRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

Romero · Last 2

L · KO · R2
Timmy CuambaRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
David OnamaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11

News & Media

David Onama · Roberto Romero
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