UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
Santiago, Chile
19 May 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
73%
Botelho
27%
Kondo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Botelho
Botelho is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Botelho has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Kondo throws more volume but Botelho connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Botelho
Kondo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'4"
67"+
Reach
66"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Botelho
Kondo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.2
8.9
39.1
Performance Avg
25.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
54
Momentum Score
17
Botelho
Kondo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.6
55%
Strike Accuracy
40%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
1
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Botelho
Kondo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Botelho
Kondo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Botelho
Kondo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
17
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Botelho
Kondo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Botelho
Kondo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
BotelhoKondo
Strike Zones
Botelho
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedKondo
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Botelho targets the head (78% of attacks) — Kondo absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Kondo targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Botelho absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Botelho
RND
Kondo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Botelho · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Kondo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Botelho · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Karine SilvaRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Luana CarolinaRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Lauren MuellerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
L · Sub · R1
Cynthia CalvilloRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
Kondo · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Ashley YoderRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11
L · KO · R1
Poliana BotelhoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Chan-Mi JeonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09