UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos
Las Vegas, USA
12 Aug 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
56%
Jr.
44%
Daukaus
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:40
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jr.
This is a genuine toss-up — Jr. at 56% vs Daukaus at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Daukaus has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Daukaus has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jr.'s chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Daukaus has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jr.
Daukaus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
76"
36
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jr.
Daukaus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.7
41.9
52.0
Performance Avg
55.2
48
Quality of Victory
59
77
Momentum Score
59
Jr.
Daukaus
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
3.8
42%
Strike Accuracy
55%
8.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
6
3
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance7
3Clinch1
2Ground0
Jr.
Daukaus
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jr.
Daukaus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
12
KO risk
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/22 fights
Chin rating based on
8/19 fights
Jr.
Daukaus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
77
59
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Jr.
Daukaus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jr.
Daukaus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Jr.Daukaus
Strike Zones
Jr.
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedDaukaus
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jr. targets the head (75% of attacks) — Daukaus absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Daukaus targets the head (75% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jr.
RND
Daukaus
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jr. · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Daukaus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Jr. · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Alex PereiraRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R3
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
Daukaus · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
W · KO · R2
Shamil AbdurakhimovRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09