UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jan 2009
Welterweight
VS
53%
Fitch
47%
Gono
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fitch
This is a genuine toss-up — Fitch at 53% vs Gono at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Gono has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Fitch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Fitch
Gono
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'7"
74"+
Reach
68"
48+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Fitch
Gono
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
18.8
52.4
Performance Avg
43.0
32
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
52
Fitch
Gono
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
57%
Strike Accuracy
48%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
8
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
4Clinch0
4Ground1
Fitch
Gono
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fitch
Gono
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/37 fights
Chin rating based on
3/56 fights
Fitch
Gono
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
52
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Fitch
Gono
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fitch
Gono
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
FitchGono
Strike Zones
Fitch
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedGono
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fitch targets the body (62% of attacks) — Gono absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Gono targets the head (50% of attacks) — Fitch absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fitch
RND
Gono
0/0R00/0
Fitch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Gono · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Fitch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
Upcoming
BJ PennDecision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
Gono · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Jon FitchRating 5.5Decision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10
W · Sub · R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.2Submission
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11