METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
Rotterdam, Netherlands
8 May 2016
Women's Strawweight
VS
74%
Kowalkiewicz
26%
Clark
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Karolina KowalkiewiczwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Heather Clark · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kowalkiewicz
→
Actual result
Kowalkiewicz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Kowalkiewicz is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Kowalkiewicz throws more volume but Clark connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Kowalkiewicz's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KowalkiewiczClark
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kowalkiewicz
Clark
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
64"
40+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kowalkiewicz
Clark
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.7
11.3
35.6
Performance Avg
28.3
28
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
33
Kowalkiewicz
Clark
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
1.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
12
4
Body
8
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
36Distance17
10Clinch5
0Ground0
Kowalkiewicz
Clark
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kowalkiewicz
Clark
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Kowalkiewicz
Clark
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Kowalkiewicz
Clark
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kowalkiewicz
Clark
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
KowalkiewiczClark
Strike Zones
Kowalkiewicz
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedClark
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kowalkiewicz targets the head (83% of attacks) — Clark absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Clark targets the head (55% of attacks) — Kowalkiewicz absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kowalkiewicz
RND
Clark
0/0R00/0
Kowalkiewicz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Clark · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Kowalkiewicz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Julia PolastriRating 4.6KO/TKO
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UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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Clark · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Alexa GrassoRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Bec RawlingsRating 4.5Decision
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