UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson
Mexico City, Mexico
5 Nov 2016
Lightweight
VS
58%
Sanchez
42%
Held
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sanchez
This is a genuine toss-up — Sanchez at 58% vs Held at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sanchez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Sanchez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sanchez's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sanchez
Held
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
71"
44
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sanchez
Held
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
9.3
46.0
Performance Avg
25.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
20
Momentum Score
22
Sanchez
Held
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.4
39%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
5
5
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch0
18Ground3
Sanchez
Held
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sanchez
Held
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/44 fights
Chin rating based on
4/30 fights
Sanchez
Held
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
22
L · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Sanchez
Held
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
32%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
13
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sanchez
Held
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
SanchezHeld
Strike Zones
Sanchez
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedHeld
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (71% of attacks) — Held absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Held targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sanchez
RND
Held
0/0R00/0
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Held · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Sanchez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Decision
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W · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · KO · R2
Mickey GallRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Craig WhiteRating 4.5Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
Held · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · KO · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Joe LauzonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · Dec · R3
Diego SanchezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11