UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2014
Bantamweight
VS
53%
Faber
47%
Rivera
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:34
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Faber
This is a genuine toss-up — Faber at 53% vs Rivera at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Rivera throws more volume but Faber connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Faber's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rivera has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Faber
Rivera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+70"
47
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Faber
Rivera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.8
18.7
49.4
Performance Avg
45.2
42
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
69
Faber
Rivera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.8
46%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Faber
Rivera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.6
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Faber
Rivera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
58
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/46 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Faber
Rivera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
69
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Faber
Rivera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
6
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Faber
Rivera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.3
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
5.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
FaberRivera
Strike Zones
Faber
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedRivera
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Faber targets the head (88% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Rivera targets the head (100% of attacks) — Faber absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Faber
RND
Rivera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Faber · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Rivera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Faber · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Petr YanRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Ricky SimonRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · Dec · R5
Dominick CruzRating 5.5Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
Rivera · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Sub · R1
John LinekerRating 1.5Submission
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Alex CaceresRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Urijah FaberRating 2.8Submission
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12