UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
Tampa, USA
12 Oct 2019
Welterweight
VS
57%
Griffin
43%
Morono
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Griffin
This is a genuine toss-up — Griffin at 57% vs Morono at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Morono throws more volume but Griffin connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Morono has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Griffin
Morono
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
72"
40
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Morono
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
35.0
39.0
Performance Avg
43.3
37
Quality of Victory
35
74
Momentum Score
20
Griffin
Morono
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
7
12
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance9
4Clinch1
1Ground0
Griffin
Morono
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Morono
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/33 fights
Chin rating based on
24/37 fights
Griffin
Morono
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Griffin
Morono
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
31%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Griffin
Morono
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.5
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
GriffinMorono
Strike Zones
Griffin
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedMorono
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the body (57% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Morono targets the head (70% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Griffin
RND
Morono
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Morono · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
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L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoRating 7.8Decision
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