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UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
Tampa, USA
12 Oct 2019
Welterweight
VS
57%
Griffin
43%
Morono
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
Max
Max Griffin
"Pain"
20 – 13
5'11"76" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Alex
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
24 – 13
Well-Rounded4-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 35
β˜… Official Result
Alex MoronowinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Max Griffin Β· UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Griffin
β†’
Actual result
Morono wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Griffin at 57% vs Morono at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Morono throws more volume but Griffin connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Morono has a chin rating of 20 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GriffinMorono
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Griffin
Morono
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
72"
40
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Morono
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
35.0
39.0
Performance Avg
43.3
37
Quality of Victory
35
74
Momentum Score
20
Griffin
Morono
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.0
2.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
7
12
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance9
4Clinch1
1Ground0
Griffin
Morono
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Morono
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
19/33 fights
Chin rating based on
24/37 fights
Griffin
Morono
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
74
20
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
4-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Griffin
Morono
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
31%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Griffin
Morono
Striking4.6 / 2.7Volume5.8 / 6.7Grappling1.5 / 2.9Wrestling1.1 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 1.5Pressure3.9 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.5
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Griffin
Strike Zones
Morono
Griffin
Attacking
7HEAD12BODY2LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Morono
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD12BODY2LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the body (57% of attacks) β€” Morono absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Morono targets the head (70% of attacks) β€” Griffin absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Griffin
RND
Morono
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Griffin Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.3L5.0W6.0L4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L7.0W5.4W4.5W6.1L4.6W7.6L5.9W4.8L6.2L6.8L2016-082019-022021-032024-022026-04
WinLossTrend

Morono Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.9W5.0W5.1W2.9L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5L5.3W6.7L4.7W6.2L6.4L2.3L7.8L2016-012019-032021-092024-042026-02
WinLossTrend

Griffin Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Victor ValenzuelaRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal Β· 2026-04
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Chris CurtisRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira Β· 2025-07
L Β· Sub Β· R3
Michael ChiesaRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura Β· 2024-12
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer Β· 2024-02
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Michael MoralesRating 7.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov Β· 2023-07

Morono Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Daniil DonchenkoRating 7.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira Β· 2026-02
L Β· KO Β· R1
Carlos LealRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev Β· 2025-03
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira Β· 2024-10
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Niko PriceRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier Β· 2024-06
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 Β· 2024-04

News & Media

Max Griffin Β· Alex Morono
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