METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
Las Vegas, USA
29 Aug 2020
Welterweight
VS
75%
Brady
25%
Aguilera
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:47
★ Official Result
Sean BradywinsSubmissionR2 · 1:47
def. Christian Aguilera · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brady
→
Actual result
Brady wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Brady is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aguilera has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Brady's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BradyAguilera
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brady
Aguilera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
72"
33+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Brady
Aguilera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
19.2
53.7
Performance Avg
49.3
35
Quality of Victory
60
84
Momentum Score
43
Brady
Aguilera
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
8.0
6.1
Style: Volume
0.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Brady
Aguilera
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brady
Aguilera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/21 fights
Chin rating based on
3/22 fights
Brady
Aguilera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Brady
Aguilera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brady
Aguilera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
BradyAguilera
Strike Zones
Brady
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedAguilera
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brady targets the head (83% of attacks) — Aguilera absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Aguilera targets the head (75% of attacks) — Brady absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brady
RND
Aguilera
0/0R00/0
Brady · Last 5
Upcoming
Gabriel BonfimUFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady · 2026-11
W · Dec · R3
Joaquin BuckleyDecision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesKO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R4
Leon EdwardsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
Aguilera · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Carlston HarrisSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · Sub · R2
Sean BradySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
W · KO · R1
Anthony IvyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06