UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
Hamburg, Germany
3 Sept 2016
Lightweight
VS
59%
Khabilov
41%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Khabilov
This is a genuine toss-up — Khabilov at 59% vs Silva at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Khabilov
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
73"+
Reach
72"
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Khabilov
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.9
14.0
48.2
Performance Avg
37.9
29
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
30
Khabilov
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
37%
Strike Accuracy
49%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
1
Body
6
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance8
0Clinch2
1Ground0
Khabilov
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Khabilov
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/28 fights
Chin rating based on
8/26 fights
Khabilov
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Khabilov
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
10%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Khabilov
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
KhabilovSilva
Strike Zones
Khabilov
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedSilva
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Khabilov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the body (60% of attacks) — Khabilov absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Khabilov
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Khabilov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Khabilov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Sergey KhandozhkoRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Diego FerreiraRating 6.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 4.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Jason SaggoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Jason SaggoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Lewis GonzalezRating 4.5Decision
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Upcoming
Drew DoberUFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03