The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale
Las Vegas, USA
11 Dec 2015
Flyweight
VS
34%
Sanchez
66%
Herrera
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:28
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Herrera
Herrera holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Sanchez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Herrera has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Striking split: Sanchez throws more volume but Herrera connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sanchez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sanchez
Herrera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
68"+
Reach
66"
34+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sanchez
Herrera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.8
17.3
23.0
Performance Avg
43.0
25
Quality of Victory
55
25
Momentum Score
29
Sanchez
Herrera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.8
34%
Strike Accuracy
36%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
24
10
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
20Distance21
4Clinch2
0Ground5
Sanchez
Herrera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sanchez
Herrera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Sanchez
Herrera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
29
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Sanchez
Herrera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sanchez
Herrera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
SanchezHerrera
Strike Zones
Sanchez
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedHerrera
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (58% of attacks) — Herrera absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Herrera targets the head (86% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sanchez
RND
Herrera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Herrera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Sanchez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mark De La RosaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
L · Sub · R1
Robert SanchezRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Geane HerreraRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Tateki MatsudaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
Herrera · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Ali BagautinovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R2
Joby SanchezRating 5.2KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Ray BorgRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08