METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
Las Vegas, USA
3 Dec 2016
Lightweight
VS
63%
Ma
37%
O'Reilly
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dong Hyun MawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Brendan O'Reilly · The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ma
→
Actual result
Ma wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Ma holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but O'Reilly has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Ma has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Ma's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaO'Reilly
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ma
O'Reilly
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ma
O'Reilly
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
9.3
37.0
Performance Avg
25.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
78
Momentum Score
22
Ma
O'Reilly
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
0.8
6.1
Style: Volume
8.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
10
3
Body
6
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
3Clinch12
0Ground2
Ma
O'Reilly
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ma
O'Reilly
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Ma
O'Reilly
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
22
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ma
O'Reilly
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ma
O'Reilly
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
MaO'Reilly
Strike Zones
Ma
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedO'Reilly
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ma targets the body (75% of attacks) — O'Reilly absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯O'Reilly targets the head (59% of attacks) — Ma absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ma
RND
O'Reilly
0/0R00/0
Ma · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omar MoralesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
L · R2
Scott HoltzmanUFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Devonte SmithKO/TKO
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Damien BrownDecision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Takanori GomiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
O'Reilly · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun MaDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
L · KO · R1
Alan JoubanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
W · Dec · R3
Vik GrujicDecision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Zhang LipengDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08