The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
Las Vegas, USA
3 Dec 2016
Lightweight
VS
63%
Ma
37%
O'Reilly
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DH
Dong Hyun Ma
"Maestro"
16 – 11
5'11"70" reachOrthodox37 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
BO
Brendan O'Reilly
"Badger"
6 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 9

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ma

Ma holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but O'Reilly has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Ma has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

O'Reilly has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ma's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ma
O'Reilly
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ma
O'Reilly
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
9.3
37.0
Performance Avg
25.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
78
Momentum Score
22
Ma
O'Reilly
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.9
35%
Strike Accuracy
60%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
10
3
Body
6
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
3Clinch12
0Ground2
Ma
O'Reilly
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ma
O'Reilly
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Ma
O'Reilly
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
22
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ma
O'Reilly
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ma
O'Reilly
Striking4.1 / 0.5Volume6.1 / 8.5Grappling1.6 / 2.4Wrestling1.1 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Ma
Strike Zones
O'Reilly
Ma
Attacking
0HEAD3BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD6BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
O'Reilly
Attacking
10HEAD6BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD3BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ma targets the body (75% of attacks) — O'Reilly absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯O'Reilly targets the head (59% of attacks) — Ma absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ma
RND
O'Reilly
0/0R00/0

Ma · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.0L4.0L4.5W5.0W4.5W1.5L4.8L5.5L2015-112016-122018-022019-082019-12
WinLossTrend

O'Reilly · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.5L4.5W1.5L5.5L2014-082015-052016-032016-12
WinLossTrend

Ma · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omar MoralesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
L · R2
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.8
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Devonte SmithRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Damien BrownRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Takanori GomiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09

O'Reilly · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun MaRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
L · KO · R1
Alan JoubanRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
W · Dec · R3
Vik GrujicRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Zhang LipengRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08

News & Media

Dong Hyun Ma · Brendan O'Reilly
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