UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Jacksonville, USA
24 Apr 2021
Welterweight
VS
90%
Grant
10%
Sekulic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Grant
Grant is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Grant has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Striking split: Grant throws more volume but Sekulic connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Grant's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grant
Sekulic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
75"
41
Age
+34
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Grant
Sekulic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.2
2.7
37.0
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Grant
Sekulic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.7
36%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
8
5
Body
2
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance14
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Grant
Sekulic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grant
Sekulic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Grant
Sekulic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Grant
Sekulic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grant
Sekulic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GrantSekulic
Strike Zones
Grant
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedSekulic
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the head (65% of attacks) — Sekulic absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Sekulic targets the head (57% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grant
RND
Sekulic
0/0R00/0
Grant · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Sekulic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Grant · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Sergey KhandozhkoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Stefan SekulicRating 4.5Decision
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · KO · R1
Daniel RodriguezRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
Sekulic · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 5.5Decision
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09