UFC 87: Seek And Destroy
Minneapolis, USA
9 Aug 2008
Light Heavyweight
VS
97%
Jones
3%
Gusmao
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jon
Jon Jones
"Bones"
28 – 1
6'4"84" reachOrthodox38 yrs19-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 71
AG
Andre Gusmao
6 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide49 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jones

Jones is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 69 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jones has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 61 points.

Striking split: Gusmao throws more volume but Jones connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Jones
Gusmao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
84"
Reach
38+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jones
Gusmao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
2.1
74.6
Performance Avg
0.0
61
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Jones
Gusmao
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
58%
Strike Accuracy
40%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
3
4
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance4
8Clinch2
2Ground0
Jones
Gusmao
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jones
Gusmao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/29 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Jones
Gusmao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
19-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Jones
Gusmao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jones
Gusmao
Striking4.6 / 0.0Volume5.5 / 0.0Grappling3.3 / 0.0Wrestling2.3 / 0.0Submission2.7 / 0.0Pressure6.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Jones
Strike Zones
Gusmao
Jones
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Gusmao
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jones targets the head (67% of attacks) — Gusmao absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Gusmao targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jones
RND
Gusmao
0/0R00/0

Jones · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.2W5.4W5.1W4.5W5.4W5.0W4.5W4.9W4.5W5.1W5.2W5.7W4.5W5.5W6.8W6.3W2008-082011-022013-042019-032024-11
WinLossTrend

Gusmao · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0107.3L1.5L2008-082009-05
WinLossTrend

Jones · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Ciryl GaneRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R5
Dominick ReyesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · Dec · R5
Thiago SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Anthony SmithRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03

Gusmao · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · Dec · R3
Jon JonesRating 7.3
Decision
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy · 2008-08

News & Media

Jon Jones · Andre Gusmao
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