UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises
Las Vegas, USA
17 Jul 2021
Women's Strawweight
VS
70%
Lemos
30%
Ruiz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:35
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lemos
Lemos is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lemos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Lemos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lemos's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ruiz has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lemos
Ruiz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'0"
65"+
Reach
61"
39
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Lemos
Ruiz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.2
23.7
49.6
Performance Avg
23.0
43
Quality of Victory
25
85
Momentum Score
30
Lemos
Ruiz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
56%
Strike Accuracy
32%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance3
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Lemos
Ruiz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lemos
Ruiz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
32
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
5/15 fights
Lemos
Ruiz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Lemos
Ruiz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lemos
Ruiz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
LemosRuiz
Strike Zones
Lemos
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedRuiz
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lemos targets the head (86% of attacks) — Ruiz absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Ruiz targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lemos absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lemos
RND
Ruiz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lemos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Ruiz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Lemos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Tatiana SuarezRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 5.4Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R2
Virna JandirobaRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 5.7Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Ruiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alice ArdeleanRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Eduarda MouraRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
L · KO · R3
Jaqueline AmorimRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Amanda LemosRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Cheyanne VlismasRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03