METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
Charlotte, USA
27 Jan 2018
Women's Flyweight
VS
78%
Cerminara
22%
Borella
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Katlyn CerminarawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mara Romero Borella · UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cerminara
→
Actual result
Cerminara wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Cerminara is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Borella has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Cerminara has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Borella has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CerminaraBorella
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cerminara
Borella
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
+69"
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerminara
Borella
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
11.5
40.9
Performance Avg
35.1
25
Quality of Victory
40
85
Momentum Score
10
Cerminara
Borella
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
0.9
35%
Strike Accuracy
34%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
14
3
Body
1
2
Leg
8
RangeRange
19Distance23
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Cerminara
Borella
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cerminara
Borella
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/24 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Cerminara
Borella
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cerminara
Borella
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerminara
Borella
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
CerminaraBorella
Strike Zones
Cerminara
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedBorella
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the head (76% of attacks) — Borella absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Borella targets the head (61% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerminara
RND
Borella
0/0R00/0
Cerminara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Borella · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Cerminara · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Manon FiorotRating 7.1Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
Borella · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Cortney CaseyRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · KO · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
W · Dec · R3
Taila SantosRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02