METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
Charlotte, USA
27 Jan 2018
Women's Flyweight
VS
80%
Cerminara
20%
Borella
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Katlyn CerminarawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mara Romero Borella · UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cerminara
→
Actual result
Cerminara wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Cerminara is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Borella has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Borella has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CerminaraBorella
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cerminara
Borella
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
+69"
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerminara
Borella
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.8
11.5
40.9
Performance Avg
35.1
25
Quality of Victory
40
85
Momentum Score
10
Cerminara
Borella
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
1.9
Style: Pressure
4.4
9.3
Style: Volume
4.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
14
3
Body
1
2
Leg
8
RangeRange
19Distance23
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Cerminara
Borella
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cerminara
Borella
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/24 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Cerminara
Borella
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cerminara
Borella
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerminara
Borella
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
CerminaraBorella
Strike Zones
Cerminara
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedBorella
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the head (76% of attacks) — Borella absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Borella targets the head (61% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerminara
RND
Borella
0/0R00/0
Cerminara · Last 5
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