METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
Glasgow, United Kingdom
16 Jul 2017
Lightweight
VS
42%
Ray
58%
Felder
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:57
★ Official Result
Paul FelderwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:57
def. Stevie Ray · UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Felder
→
Actual result
Felder wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ray at 42% vs Felder at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Ray's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RayFelder
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ray
Felder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
70"
36+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ray
Felder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
21.7
46.0
Performance Avg
49.0
34
Quality of Victory
42
46
Momentum Score
100
Ray
Felder
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
5.7
7.0
Style: Volume
4.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
14
2
Body
7
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance4
3Clinch7
0Ground12
Ray
Felder
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ray
Felder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/32 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Ray
Felder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ray
Felder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
56%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ray
Felder
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
RayFelder
Strike Zones
Ray
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedFelder
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ray targets the head (40% of attacks) — Felder absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Felder targets the head (61% of attacks) — Ray absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ray
RND
Felder
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ray · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Paul FelderKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
Felder · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Rafael Dos AnjosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Dec · R5
Dan HookerDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaDecision
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W · Dec · R3
James VickDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Mike PerryDecision
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