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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
Glasgow, United Kingdom
16 Jul 2017
Lightweight
VS
42%
Ray
58%
Felder
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:57
SR
Stevie Ray
"Braveheart"
23 – 9
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 15
PF
Paul Felder
"The Irish Dragon"
17 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'11"
CFR 22
★ Official Result
Paul FelderwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:57
def. Stevie Ray · UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Felder
→
Actual result
Felder wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Ray at 42% vs Felder at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Ray has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ray's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RayFelder
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ray
Felder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
70"
36+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ray
Felder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
21.7
46.0
Performance Avg
49.0
34
Quality of Victory
42
46
Momentum Score
100
Ray
Felder
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
1.3
48%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
14
2
Body
7
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance4
3Clinch7
0Ground12
Ray
Felder
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ray
Felder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/32 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Ray
Felder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ray
Felder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
56%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ray
Felder
Striking4.1 / 5.6Volume7.0 / 4.8Grappling1.7 / 2.0Wrestling1.2 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure3.9 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Ray
Strike Zones
Felder
Ray
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD7BODY2LEGS23 absorbed
Felder
Attacking
14HEAD7BODY2LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ray targets the head (40% of attacks) — Felder absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Felder targets the head (61% of attacks) — Ray absorbs 61% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ray
RND
Felder
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ray · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.2W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W1.6L4.6W2015-042016-092017-072019-062019-10
WinLossTrend

Felder · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.2W6.0L5.5L5.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W6.7W5.5L4.5W5.0W6.4L5.7L2014-102016-012017-072019-092020-11
WinLossTrend

Ray · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Leonardo SantosRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Jessin AyariRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Paul FelderRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07

Felder · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Dec · R5
Dan HookerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 5
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
James VickRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Mike PerryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07

News & Media

Stevie Ray · Paul Felder
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