UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
New York City, USA
6 Nov 2021
Bantamweight
VS
33%
Edgar
67%
Vera
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:50
FE
Frankie Edgar
"The Answer"
23 – 11
5'6"68" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 25
Marlon
Marlon Vera
"Chito"
23 – 12
Well-Rounded4-fight slide33 yrsSwitch70" reach5'8"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vera

Vera holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Edgar has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Vera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Edgar's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Edgar
Vera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
44
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Edgar
Vera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.4
51.4
48.0
Performance Avg
50.4
39
Quality of Victory
46
68
Momentum Score
39
Edgar
Vera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.7
45%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
28
11
Body
8
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
32Distance37
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Edgar
Vera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edgar
Vera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
78
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/34 fights
Chin rating based on
26/35 fights
Edgar
Vera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Edgar
Vera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
73%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
4
12
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edgar
Vera
Striking3.5 / 5.8Volume6.1 / 3.3Grappling2.4 / 2.8Wrestling1.6 / 1.9Submission1.1 / 2.7Pressure4.2 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Edgar
Strike Zones
Vera
Edgar
Attacking
18HEAD11BODY3LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD8BODY2LEGS38 absorbed
Vera
Attacking
28HEAD8BODY2LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD11BODY3LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Edgar targets the head (56% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Vera targets the head (74% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Edgar
RND
Vera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Edgar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.4W5.5L5.5L6.0L5.9W5.2W6.0W4.5W5.0W6.0L5.0W5.8W2.9L5.0W6.6L2.0L5.0W3.0L4.8L2.0L2007-022010-082015-052019-122022-11
WinLossTrend

Vera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5L5.2W6.3L4.5W5.5W5.3W5.5L5.7L5.2W5.2W5.0W5.2W5.5W6.8L6.5W6.0L5.3W5.5W5.7W5.4W7.0L5.0W7.0L6.6L6.6L7.2L2014-112018-022020-082023-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Edgar · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12

Vera · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 7
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

News & Media

Frankie Edgar · Marlon Vera
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