METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
Vancouver, Canada
27 Aug 2016
Lightweight
VS
28%
Campbell
72%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:13
★ Official Result
Felipe SilvawinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:13
def. Shane Campbell · UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Silva
→
Actual result
Silva wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Silva is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Campbell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Campbell's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CampbellSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Campbell
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
71"
Reach
+77"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Campbell
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
7.5
19.5
23.0
Performance Avg
49.3
25
Quality of Victory
60
15
Momentum Score
52
Campbell
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
1.7
56%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
6
1
Body
4
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance6
1Clinch3
0Ground2
Campbell
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Campbell
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/20 fights
Chin rating based on
3/10 fights
Campbell
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
52
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Campbell
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Campbell
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
CampbellSilva
Strike Zones
Campbell
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedSilva
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Campbell targets the legs (78% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (55% of attacks) — Campbell absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Campbell
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Campbell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Campbell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Felipe SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
L · Sub · R2
Erik KochRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
James KrauseRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Elias SilverioRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
John MakdessiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
Silva · Last 3
L · Sub · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 4.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
L · KO · R1
Mairbek TaisumovRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · KO · R1
Shane CampbellRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08