METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale
Las Vegas, USA
11 Dec 2015
Lightweight
VS
50%
Barboza
50%
Ferguson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:54
Edson
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
24 – 14
5'11"75" reachOrthodox40 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Tony
Tony Ferguson
"El Cucuy"
26 – 11
Well-Rounded8-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox76" reach5'11"
CFR 45
★ Official Result
Tony FergusonwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:54
def. Edson Barboza · The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barboza
→
Actual result
Ferguson wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Barboza at 50% vs Ferguson at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ferguson has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BarbozaFerguson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Barboza
Ferguson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
+76"
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barboza
Ferguson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.6
45.2
45.7
Performance Avg
54.2
40
Quality of Victory
49
60
Momentum Score
52
Barboza
Ferguson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
6.1
5.1
Style: Volume
3.4
9 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
17
3
Body
4
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance18
0Clinch0
1Ground7
Barboza
Ferguson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barboza
Ferguson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
12
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/38 fights
Chin rating based on
24/37 fights
Barboza
Ferguson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
52
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
8-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R4
L · KO · R2
Barboza
Ferguson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
9
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
6
9
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barboza
Ferguson
Striking6.1 / 3.3Volume5.1 / 3.4Grappling1.2 / 3.8Wrestling0.8 / 2.7Submission0.0 / 4.0Pressure5.1 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Barboza
Strike Zones
Ferguson
Barboza
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD4BODY4LEGS25 absorbed
Ferguson
Attacking
17HEAD4BODY4LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the head (64% of attacks) — Ferguson absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Ferguson targets the head (68% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barboza
RND
Ferguson
0/0R00/0

Barboza · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Esteban Ribovics
KO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Jalin Turner
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar Klose
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone Murphy
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq Yusuff
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10

Ferguson · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Michael Chiesa
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Paddy Pimblett
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Sub · R3
King Green
Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
L · Sub · R4
Nate Diaz
Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · KO · R2
Michael Chandler
KO/TKO
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05

News & Media

Edson Barboza · Tony Ferguson
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