UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa
Adelaide, Australia
1 Dec 2018
Flyweight
VS
4%
Garcia
96%
Kara-France
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
EG
Elias Garcia
6 – 2
5'5"67" reachSouthpaw33 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 2
Kai
Kai Kara-France
"Don't Blink"
25 – 12
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'4"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kara-France

Kara-France is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kara-France has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.

Kara-France has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Kara-France has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Garcia
Kara-France
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
67"
Reach
+69"
33
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Garcia
Kara-France
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.4
52.5
0.0
Performance Avg
47.5
0
Quality of Victory
38
0
Momentum Score
80
Garcia
Kara-France
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
2.0
24%
Strike Accuracy
41%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
19
1
Body
3
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
5Distance19
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Garcia
Kara-France
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Garcia
Kara-France
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/8 fights
Chin rating based on
13/37 fights
Garcia
Kara-France
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Garcia
Kara-France
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
38%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Garcia
Kara-France
Striking0.0 / 5.0Volume0.0 / 6.2Grappling0.0 / 1.5Wrestling0.0 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Garcia
Strike Zones
Kara-France
Garcia
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY3LEGS25 absorbed
Kara-France
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY3LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Garcia targets the head (80% of attacks) — Kara-France absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Kara-France targets the head (76% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Garcia
RND
Kara-France
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L6.4L2018-072018-12
WinLossTrend

Kara-France · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W4.5W4.5W6.4L4.7W3.5L5.0W6.1W4.5W3.6L6.8L5.6W4.0L2018-122020-022022-032025-06
WinLossTrend

Garcia · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Sub · R2
Mark De La RosaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07

Kara-France · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 4
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Steve ErcegRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Amir AlbaziRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · KO · R3
Brandon MorenoRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Askar AskarovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03

News & Media

Elias Garcia · Kai Kara-France
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