UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis
Seattle, USA
26 Mar 2011
Bantamweight
VS
61%
McDonald
39%
Figueroa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MM
Michael McDonald
"Mayday"
17 – 4
5'9"70" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 22
EF
Edwin Figueroa
"El Feroz"
9 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: McDonald

McDonald holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Figueroa has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

McDonald has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

McDonald's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

McDonald
Figueroa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
35+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McDonald
Figueroa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
13.9
53.6
Performance Avg
37.3
45
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
30
McDonald
Figueroa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.0
40%
Strike Accuracy
39%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
8
2
Body
5
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance11
2Clinch0
2Ground2
McDonald
Figueroa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McDonald
Figueroa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
McDonald
Figueroa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
McDonald
Figueroa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

McDonald
Figueroa
Striking4.7 / 5.7Volume4.0 / 4.7Grappling3.5 / 1.2Wrestling2.4 / 0.8Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure6.7 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
McDonald
Strike Zones
Figueroa
McDonald
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD5BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Figueroa
Attacking
8HEAD5BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯McDonald targets the head (69% of attacks) — Figueroa absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Figueroa targets the head (62% of attacks) — McDonald absorbs 62% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

McDonald
RND
Figueroa
0/0R00/0

McDonald · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0104.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W3.4L5.2W2.8L5.2W1.5L2011-032012-042013-122016-07
WinLossTrend

Figueroa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L5.2W4.7W2.8L5.5L5.5L2011-032011-082012-022013-022013-062013-11
WinLossTrend

McDonald · Last 5

L · KO · R1
John LinekerRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
W · Sub · R2
Masanori KaneharaRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Sub · R2
Urijah FaberRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
W · Sub · R2
Brad PickettRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
L · Sub · R4
Renan BaraoRating 3.4
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02

Figueroa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Roland DelormeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco RiveraRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · KO · R2
Jason ReinhardtRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08

News & Media

Michael McDonald · Edwin Figueroa
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