METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis
Seattle, USA
26 Mar 2011
Bantamweight
VS
61%
McDonald
39%
Figueroa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michael McDonaldwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Edwin Figueroa · UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McDonald
→
Actual result
McDonald wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
McDonald holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Figueroa has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
McDonald's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McDonaldFigueroa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McDonald
Figueroa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
35+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McDonald
Figueroa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
13.9
53.6
Performance Avg
37.3
45
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
30
McDonald
Figueroa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
4.5
4.0
Style: Volume
4.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
8
2
Body
5
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance11
2Clinch0
2Ground2
McDonald
Figueroa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McDonald
Figueroa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
McDonald
Figueroa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
McDonald
Figueroa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McDonald
Figueroa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
McDonaldFigueroa
Strike Zones
McDonald
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedFigueroa
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McDonald targets the head (69% of attacks) — Figueroa absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Figueroa targets the head (62% of attacks) — McDonald absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McDonald
RND
Figueroa
0/0R00/0
McDonald · Last 5
L · KO · R1
John LinekerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
W · Sub · R2
Masanori KaneharaSubmission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Sub · R2
Urijah FaberSubmission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
W · Sub · R2
Brad PickettSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
L · Sub · R4
Renan BaraoSubmission
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
Figueroa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezDecision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Roland DelormeDecision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco RiveraKO/TKO
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresDecision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · KO · R2
Jason ReinhardtKO/TKO
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08