★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
Atlanta, USA
30 Jul 2016
Welterweight
VS
68%
Lawler
32%
Woodley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:12
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lawler
Lawler holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Woodley has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Woodley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Lawler has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lawler's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Woodley has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lawler
Woodley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
74"
Reach
74"
44
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lawler
Woodley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
19.4
51.0
Performance Avg
58.9
45
Quality of Victory
58
90
Momentum Score
40
Lawler
Woodley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
50%
Strike Accuracy
49%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
8 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
7
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
1Clinch0
0Ground5
Lawler
Woodley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lawler
Woodley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/46 fights
Chin rating based on
16/26 fights
Lawler
Woodley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
40
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Lawler
Woodley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
67%
8
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lawler
Woodley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
LawlerWoodley
Strike Zones
Lawler
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedWoodley
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lawler targets the body (100% of attacks) — Woodley absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Woodley targets the head (88% of attacks) — Lawler absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lawler
RND
Woodley
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lawler · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Woodley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Lawler · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
Woodley · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3Submission
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Darren TillRating 5.1Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09