METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Sunrise, USA
27 Apr 2019
Heavyweight
VS
96%
Hardy
4%
Smoliakov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:15
★ Official Result
Greg HardywinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:15
def. Dmitrii Smoliakov · UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hardy
→
Actual result
Hardy wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Hardy is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hardy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Risk flags
Hardy's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Smoliakov has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HardySmoliakov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hardy
Smoliakov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'2"
80"+
Reach
74"
38+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Hardy
Smoliakov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.7
1.2
47.8
Performance Avg
0.0
50
Quality of Victory
0
76
Momentum Score
0
Hardy
Smoliakov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.9
Style: Volume
0.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
2Clinch0
8Ground0
Hardy
Smoliakov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hardy
Smoliakov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
44
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/12 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Hardy
Smoliakov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Hardy
Smoliakov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hardy
Smoliakov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HardySmoliakov
Strike Zones
Hardy
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSmoliakov
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the head (86% of attacks) — Smoliakov absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Smoliakov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hardy
RND
Smoliakov
0/0R00/0
Hardy · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacKO/TKO
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaKO/TKO
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Marcin TyburaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
W · KO · R2
Maurice GreeneKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Yorgan De CastroDecision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
Smoliakov · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Greg HardyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Cyril AskerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · Sub · R2
Luis HenriqueSubmission
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07