Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Thibault Gouti — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson

Ottawa, Canada

18 Jun 2016

Lightweight

54%

Aubin-Mercier

46%

Gouti

Win Probability

Submission

Round 3 · 2:28

Olivier Aubin-Mercier

"The Canadian Gangster"

11 – 5

5'9"70" reachSouthpaw37 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 19

Thibault Gouti

"GT"

12 – 5

Knockout Artist2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"

CFR 16

★ Official Result

Olivier Aubin-MercierwinsSubmissionR3 · 2:28

def. Thibault Gouti · UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Aubin-Mercier

→

Actual result

Aubin-Mercier wins

Submission · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Aubin-Mercier at 54% vs Gouti at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Gouti has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Risk flags

Gouti has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

Aubin-MercierGouti

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Aubin-Mercier

Gouti

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'9"

Height

+5'10"

70"

Reach

+72"

37+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Aubin-Mercier

Gouti

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

19.4

16.4

49.0

Performance Avg

42.7

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Aubin-Mercier

Gouti

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.6

/ 10

10.0

/ 10

6.8

Style: Pressure

7.5

3.5

Style: Volume

0.3

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

1Distance0

0Clinch0

2Ground0

Aubin-Mercier

Gouti

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.3

/ 10

0.0

/ 10

3.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.0

5.7

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Aubin-Mercier

Gouti

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

3 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

12/16 fights

Chin rating based on

6/17 fights

Aubin-Mercier

Gouti

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

L · KO · R1

L · Sub · R3

Aubin-Mercier

Gouti

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

71%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aubin-Mercier

Gouti

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

2.6

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

10.0

5.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.0

3.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.0

5.7

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.5

3.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.3

Aubin-Mercier

Strike Zones

Gouti

Aubin-Mercier

Attacking

3 landed

Absorbing

0 absorbed

Gouti

Attacking

0 landed

Absorbing

3 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Aubin-Mercier targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gouti absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aubin-Mercier

RND

Gouti

0/0R00/0

Aubin-Mercier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Arman Tsarukyan

Decision

UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07

L · Dec · R3

Gilbert Burns

Decision

UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12

L · Dec · R3

Alexander Hernandez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07

W · KO · R1

Evan Dunham

KO/TKO

UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04

W · Dec · R3

Anthony Rocco Martin

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09

Gouti · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Nasrat Haqparast

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10

L · Dec · R3

Sage Northcutt

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

W · KO · R1

Andrew Holbrook

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09

L · KO · R1

Chad Laprise

KO/TKO

UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08

L · Sub · R3

Olivier Aubin-Mercier

Submission

UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06

News & Media

Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Thibault Gouti

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