UFC 97: Redemption
Montreal, Canada
18 Apr 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Marshall
46%
Magalhaes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
EM
Eliot Marshall
"Fire"
10 – 4
6'2"77" reachOrthodox45 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
VM
Vinny Magalhaes
"Pezao"
14 – 9
Submission Hunter2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'3"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Marshall

This is a genuine toss-up — Marshall at 54% vs Magalhaes at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Magalhaes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Marshall has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Magalhaes has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Marshall
Magalhaes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
77"+
Reach
75"
45
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marshall
Magalhaes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
13.8
40.8
Performance Avg
37.7
35
Quality of Victory
50
65
Momentum Score
13
Marshall
Magalhaes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.6
27%
Strike Accuracy
23%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
7
2
Body
2
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
17Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Marshall
Magalhaes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Marshall
Magalhaes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
5/23 fights
Marshall
Magalhaes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
13
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Marshall
Magalhaes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marshall
Magalhaes
Striking1.0 / 0.4Volume6.3 / 0.4Grappling4.3 / 8.0Wrestling3.0 / 5.6Submission3.3 / 10.0Pressure3.8 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Marshall
Strike Zones
Magalhaes
Marshall
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY6LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Magalhaes
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY6LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Marshall targets the head (53% of attacks) — Magalhaes absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Magalhaes targets the head (64% of attacks) — Marshall absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marshall
RND
Magalhaes
0/0R00/0

Marshall · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L2008-122009-042009-092010-032011-032011-10
WinLossTrend

Magalhaes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L5.5L5.2W5.5L1.5L2008-122009-042012-092013-042013-08
WinLossTrend

Marshall · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
L · KO · R1
Luiz CaneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Jason BrilzRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · Dec · R3
Vinny MagalhaesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04

Magalhaes · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Anthony PeroshRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
L · Dec · R3
Phil DavisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
W · Sub · R2
Igor PokrajacRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12

News & Media

Eliot Marshall · Vinny Magalhaes
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