METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Mexico City, Mexico
28 Feb 2026
Middleweight
VS
64%
Pinas
36%
Schultz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:30
★ Official Result
Damian PinaswinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:30
def. Wes Schultz · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pinas
→
Actual result
Pinas wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Pinas holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Schultz has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pinas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Schultz has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PinasSchultz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pinas
Schultz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
77"
24+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pinas
Schultz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
82.8
46.8
76.0
Performance Avg
40.3
60
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
43
Pinas
Schultz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
10.0
Style: Pressure
8.0
2.0
Style: Volume
0.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
2
Body
2
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance3
1Clinch0
6Ground0
Pinas
Schultz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pinas
Schultz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
56
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/10 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Pinas
Schultz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Pinas
Schultz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pinas
Schultz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
PinasSchultz
Strike Zones
Pinas
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedSchultz
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pinas targets the head (60% of attacks) — Schultz absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Schultz targets the body (67% of attacks) — Pinas absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pinas
RND
Schultz
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Pinas · Last 3
Upcoming
Andrey PulyaevUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
W · KO · R1
Cesar AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R1
Wes SchultzKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
Schultz · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Jackson McVeyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Sub · R3
Ben JohnstonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Damian PinasKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02