UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
Atlanta, USA
13 Apr 2019
Flyweight
VS
20%
Reis
80%
Pantoja
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pantoja
Pantoja is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pantoja has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Pantoja has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Reis's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reis
Pantoja
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
65"
Reach
+67"
41
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Reis
Pantoja
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
60.7
41.5
Performance Avg
60.2
33
Quality of Victory
49
65
Momentum Score
65
Reis
Pantoja
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.3
33%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
19
0
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground16
Reis
Pantoja
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.5
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Reis
Pantoja
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/33 fights
Chin rating based on
18/36 fights
Reis
Pantoja
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
65
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Reis
Pantoja
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
57%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
6
5
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reis
Pantoja
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.5
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
ReisPantoja
Strike Zones
Reis
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedPantoja
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reis targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pantoja targets the head (83% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reis
RND
Pantoja
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Reis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Pantoja · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Reis · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
Pantoja · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Joshua VanRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.1Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.1Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegRating 5.1Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.3Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12