METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
Atlanta, USA
13 Apr 2019
Flyweight
VS
20%
Reis
80%
Pantoja
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:58
★ Official Result
Alexandre PantojawinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:58
def. Wilson Reis · UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pantoja
→
Actual result
Pantoja wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Pantoja is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pantoja has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Reis's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ReisPantoja
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reis
Pantoja
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
65"
Reach
+67"
41
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Reis
Pantoja
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
60.7
41.5
Performance Avg
60.2
33
Quality of Victory
49
65
Momentum Score
65
Reis
Pantoja
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
6.3
6.8
Style: Volume
5.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
19
0
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground16
Reis
Pantoja
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.1
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
4.3
2
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reis
Pantoja
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/33 fights
Chin rating based on
19/36 fights
Reis
Pantoja
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
65
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
Reis
Pantoja
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
57%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
6
5
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reis
Pantoja
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.5
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
ReisPantoja
Strike Zones
Reis
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedPantoja
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reis targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pantoja targets the head (83% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reis
RND
Pantoja
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Reis · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaKO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonSubmission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
Pantoja · Last 5
Upcoming
Joshua VanUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · KO · R1
Joshua VanKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Kai Kara-FranceSubmission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegDecision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05