UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
Las Vegas, USA
3 Mar 2018
Welterweight
VS
58%
Pyle
42%
Ottow
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:34
MP
Mike Pyle
"Quicksand"
27 – 14
6'0"74" reachOrthodox50 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
ZO
Zak Ottow
"The Barbarian"
17 – 7
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pyle

This is a genuine toss-up — Pyle at 58% vs Ottow at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Pyle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Pyle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pyle's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ottow has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pyle
Ottow
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
72"
50
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pyle
Ottow
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
14.1
47.8
Performance Avg
40.2
45
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
53
Pyle
Ottow
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
38%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
18
3
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground13
Pyle
Ottow
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pyle
Ottow
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/41 fights
Chin rating based on
8/24 fights
Pyle
Ottow
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
53
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Pyle
Ottow
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
25%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pyle
Ottow
Striking6.0 / 3.5Volume3.5 / 7.0Grappling2.3 / 1.8Wrestling1.6 / 1.3Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Pyle
Strike Zones
Ottow
Pyle
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD2BODY2LEGS22 absorbed
Ottow
Attacking
18HEAD2BODY2LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD3BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pyle targets the body (75% of attacks) — Ottow absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Ottow targets the head (82% of attacks) — Pyle absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pyle
RND
Ottow
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pyle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L5.5W2.8L5.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W1.9L5.5W1.5L6.8L5.5W2.8L1.5L1.5L2009-052011-032013-052016-022018-03
WinLossTrend

Ottow · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0104.5W5.5L4.5W2.3L5.0W2.8L4.5W1.5L2016-102017-062018-032018-122019-03
WinLossTrend

Pyle · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Zak OttowRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Alex GarciaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Alberto MinaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · KO · R3
Sean SpencerRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05

Ottow · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · KO · R2
Sage NorthcuttRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Li JingliangRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11

News & Media

Mike Pyle · Zak Ottow
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