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UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2020
Featherweight
VS
47%
Stamann
53%
Kelleher
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Cody
Cody Stamann
"The Spartan"
218
5'6"64" reachOrthodox36 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 36
Brian
Brian Kelleher
"Boom"
2416
Well-Rounded4-fight slide39 yrsSwitch66" reach5'6"
CFR 41
★ Official Result
Cody StamannwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Brian Kelleher · UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kelleher
Actual result
Stamann wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Stamann at 47% vs Kelleher at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Kelleher has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Striking split: Kelleher throws more volume but Stamann connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Stamann's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Kelleher has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
StamannKelleher
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Stamann
Kelleher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
64"
Reach
+66"
36+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Stamann
Kelleher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.0
40.8
38.0
Performance Avg
44.5
30
Quality of Victory
43
53
Momentum Score
61
Stamann
Kelleher
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
8
3
Body
6
2
Leg
7
RangeRange
26Distance19
3Clinch2
1Ground0
Stamann
Kelleher
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stamann
Kelleher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
5
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
15/29 fights
Chin rating based on
17/40 fights
Stamann
Kelleher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
61
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Stamann
Kelleher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
63%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stamann
Kelleher
Striking2.4 / 3.4Volume7.9 / 3.9Grappling2.1 / 3.9Wrestling1.4 / 2.7Submission0.0 / 3.8Pressure2.5 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
2.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
Stamann
Strike Zones
Kelleher
Stamann
Attacking
25HEAD3BODY2LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD6BODY7LEGS21 absorbed
Kelleher
Attacking
8HEAD6BODY7LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD3BODY2LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Stamann targets the head (83% of attacks) — Kelleher absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Kelleher targets the head (38% of attacks) — Stamann absorbs 38% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stamann
RND
Kelleher
0/0R00/0

Stamann · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W3.7L4.5W4.8W5.5L6.8L2.9L5.0W5.0W5.7L6.2L2.5L2017-072019-032022-012024-062024-11
WinLossTrend

Kelleher · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W2.3L5.5W4.5W4.0L2.4L5.8W5.2W5.5L5.0W6.2L4.5W4.5W2.8L2.6L2.6L1.7L2017-062018-122021-022023-122024-07
WinLossTrend

Stamann · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 2.5
Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 6.2
Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Luan LacerdaRating 5
Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · KO · R1
Eddie WinelandRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06

Kelleher · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Cody GibsonRating 1.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Sub · R1
Mario BautistaRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · Sub · R1
Umar NurmagomedovRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin CroomRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Cody Stamann · Brian Kelleher
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