UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
Las Vegas, USA
8 Nov 2025
Bantamweight
VS
49%
Simon
51%
Barcelos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ricky
Ricky Simon
22 – 7
5'6"69" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Raoni
Raoni Barcelos
22 – 5
Well-Rounded5-fight win streak39 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barcelos

This is a genuine toss-up — Simon at 49% vs Barcelos at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Barcelos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Simon's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Simon
Barcelos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
69"+
Reach
67"
33+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Simon
Barcelos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
51.6
48.0
Performance Avg
49.8
38
Quality of Victory
34
56
Momentum Score
63
Simon
Barcelos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
23
3
Body
8
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
27Distance33
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Simon
Barcelos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Simon
Barcelos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/29 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Simon
Barcelos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
63
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Simon
Barcelos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
36%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Simon
Barcelos
Striking3.3 / 3.3Volume5.3 / 6.6Grappling3.6 / 3.0Wrestling2.5 / 2.1Submission3.0 / 1.8Pressure5.4 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Simon
Strike Zones
Barcelos
Simon
Attacking
24HEAD3BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD8BODY3LEGS34 absorbed
Barcelos
Attacking
23HEAD8BODY3LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD3BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Simon targets the head (89% of attacks) — Barcelos absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Barcelos targets the head (68% of attacks) — Simon absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Simon
RND
Barcelos
0/0R00/0

Simon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.8W5.4W4.9W1.5L6.7L4.5W5.2W4.8W5.2W6.0W5.3L6.6L6.5L5.4W4.5W6.3L2018-042019-122021-122024-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Barcelos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5W5.7W5.2W5.9W4.5W5.5L6.4L4.5W2.8L6.2L6.3W6.0W5.6W5.2W5.4W2018-072020-112023-012025-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Simon · Last 5

Upcoming
Adrian Yanez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cameron SmothermanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Javid BasharatRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

Barcelos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 6
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R3
Cristian QuinonezRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

News & Media

Ricky Simon · Raoni Barcelos
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