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UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
Las Vegas, USA
8 Nov 2025
Bantamweight
VS
49%
Simon
51%
Barcelos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ricky
Ricky Simon
227
5'6"69" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Raoni
Raoni Barcelos
225
Well-Rounded5-fight win streak39 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 52
★ Official Result
Raoni BarceloswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ricky Simon · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barcelos
Actual result
Barcelos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Simon at 49% vs Barcelos at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Simon's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SimonBarcelos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Simon
Barcelos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
69"+
Reach
67"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Simon
Barcelos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
51.6
48.0
Performance Avg
49.8
38
Quality of Victory
34
56
Momentum Score
63
Simon
Barcelos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
4.8
5.3
Style: Volume
6.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
23
3
Body
8
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
27Distance33
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Simon
Barcelos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Simon
Barcelos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
18/29 fights
Chin rating based on
16/27 fights
Simon
Barcelos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
63
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Simon
Barcelos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
36%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Simon
Barcelos
Striking3.3 / 3.3Volume5.3 / 6.6Grappling3.6 / 3.0Wrestling2.5 / 2.1Submission3.0 / 1.8Pressure5.4 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Simon
Strike Zones
Barcelos
Simon
Attacking
24HEAD3BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD8BODY3LEGS34 absorbed
Barcelos
Attacking
23HEAD8BODY3LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD3BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Simon targets the head (89% of attacks) — Barcelos absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Barcelos targets the head (68% of attacks) — Simon absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Simon
RND
Barcelos
0/0R00/0

Simon · Last 5

Upcoming
Montel Jackson
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
Upcoming
Adrian Yanez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni Barcelos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cameron Smotherman
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Javid Basharat
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

Barcelos · Last 5

Upcoming
Raul Rosas Jr.
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Montel Jackson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Ricky Simon
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cody Garbrandt
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Payton Talbott
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

News & Media

Ricky Simon · Raoni Barcelos
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