UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal
London, United Kingdom
16 Mar 2019
Welterweight
VS
46%
Till
54%
Masvidal
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:05
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Masvidal
This is a genuine toss-up — Till at 46% vs Masvidal at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Masvidal throws more volume but Till connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Till's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Masvidal has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Till
Masvidal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
74"
33+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Till
Masvidal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.5
35.2
44.3
Performance Avg
47.0
38
Quality of Victory
42
35
Momentum Score
43
Till
Masvidal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
8
0
Body
4
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
8Distance14
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Till
Masvidal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Till
Masvidal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
22/52 fights
Till
Masvidal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Till
Masvidal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Till
Masvidal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
TillMasvidal
Strike Zones
Till
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedMasvidal
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Till targets the head (88% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Masvidal targets the head (50% of attacks) — Till absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Till
RND
Masvidal
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Till · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Masvidal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Till · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.9Submission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Sub · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 4.8Decision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Jorge MasvidalRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
Masvidal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazRating 4.3UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11