UFC 21: Return of the Champions
Cedar Rapids, USA
16 Jul 1999
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Roberts
49%
Waterman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:51
AR
Andre Roberts
"The Chief"
14 – 2
6'2"Orthodox61 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
RW
Ron Waterman
"H20"
16 – 6
Well-Rounded60 yrsOrthodox6'2"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Roberts

This is a genuine toss-up — Roberts at 51% vs Waterman at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Waterman throws more volume but Roberts connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Roberts
Waterman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
61
Age
+60
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Roberts
Waterman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
20.2
52.9
Performance Avg
52.2
44
Quality of Victory
43
85
Momentum Score
75
Roberts
Waterman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.0
52%
Strike Accuracy
49%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
19
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance8
3Clinch14
3Ground0
Roberts
Waterman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Roberts
Waterman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Roberts
Waterman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
75
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Roberts
Waterman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Roberts
Waterman
Striking6.3 / 6.3Volume5.3 / 5.3Grappling1.2 / 1.2Wrestling0.8 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Roberts
Strike Zones
Waterman
Roberts
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Waterman
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Roberts targets the head (100% of attacks) — Waterman absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Waterman targets the head (86% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Roberts
RND
Waterman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Roberts · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0104.2W1.5L5.0W1998-051999-031999-07
WinLossTrend

Waterman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0105.0W1.5L4.5W1999-051999-072000-04
WinLossTrend

Roberts · Last 3

W · KO · R1
Ron WatermanRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 21: Return of the Champions · 1999-07
L · KO · R1
Gary GoodridgeRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 19: Ultimate Young Guns · 1999-03
W · Dec · R2
Harry MoskowitzRating 4.2
Decision
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05

Waterman · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Satoshi HonmaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 25: Ultimate Japan 3 · 2000-04
Upcoming
Tim Lajcik
Decision
UFC 22: Only One Can be Champion · 1999-09
L · KO · R1
Andre RobertsRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 21: Return of the Champions · 1999-07
W · KO · R1
Chris CondoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 20: Battle for the Gold · 1999-05

News & Media

Andre Roberts · Ron Waterman
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