METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Las Vegas, USA
5 Mar 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
49%
Moroz
51%
Agapova
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:27
★ Official Result
Maryna MorozwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:27
def. Mariya Agapova · UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Agapova
→
Actual result
Moroz wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Moroz at 49% vs Agapova at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Agapova has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Agapova has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MorozAgapova
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moroz
Agapova
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+68"
35
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Moroz
Agapova
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
40.9
40.3
Performance Avg
43.0
34
Quality of Victory
50
90
Momentum Score
33
Moroz
Agapova
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
8.0
6.3
Style: Volume
0.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
4
5
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance4
5Clinch2
19Ground0
Moroz
Agapova
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moroz
Agapova
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
42
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/17 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Moroz
Agapova
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
Moroz
Agapova
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moroz
Agapova
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
MorozAgapova
Strike Zones
Moroz
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedAgapova
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moroz targets the head (81% of attacks) — Agapova absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Agapova targets the head (67% of attacks) — Moroz absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moroz
RND
Agapova
0/0R00/0
Moroz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Karine SilvaSubmission
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · Sub · R2
Mariya AgapovaSubmission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Mayra Bueno SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
Agapova · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Luana SantosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Sub · R2
Gillian RobertsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
L · Sub · R2
Maryna MorozSubmission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Sub · R3
Sabina MazoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
L · KO · R2
Shana DobsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08