UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Las Vegas, USA
5 Mar 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
53%
Moroz
47%
Agapova
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:27
Maryna
Maryna Moroz
"Iron Lady"
11 – 6
5'7"67" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 47
Mariya
Mariya Agapova
"Money Mashka"
10 – 5
Submission Hunter3-fight slide29 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'6"
CFR 41

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Moroz

This is a genuine toss-up — Moroz at 53% vs Agapova at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Agapova has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Striking split: Moroz throws more volume but Agapova connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Agapova has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Moroz
Agapova
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+68"
34
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Moroz
Agapova
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.9
40.9
40.3
Performance Avg
43.0
34
Quality of Victory
50
90
Momentum Score
33
Moroz
Agapova
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.3
35%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
4
5
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance4
5Clinch2
19Ground0
Moroz
Agapova
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moroz
Agapova
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
42
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/17 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Moroz
Agapova
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
Moroz
Agapova
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moroz
Agapova
Striking1.0 / 0.7Volume6.3 / 0.7Grappling4.3 / 8.0Wrestling3.0 / 5.6Submission3.3 / 10.0Pressure3.8 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Moroz
Strike Zones
Agapova
Moroz
Attacking
21HEAD5BODY0LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Agapova
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD5BODY0LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moroz targets the head (81% of attacks) — Agapova absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Agapova targets the head (67% of attacks) — Moroz absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moroz
RND
Agapova
0/0R00/0

Moroz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.8L5.6L4.5W5.1W5.5W5.5L2.7L5.7L2015-042016-082019-032022-112024-03
WinLossTrend

Agapova · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W2.8L5.5W3.3L4.0L3.2L2020-062020-082021-102022-032022-092024-07
WinLossTrend

Moroz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Karine SilvaRating 2.7
Submission
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · Sub · R2
Mariya AgapovaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03

Agapova · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Luana SantosRating 3.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Sub · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
L · Sub · R2
Maryna MorozRating 3.3
Submission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Sub · R3
Sabina MazoRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
L · KO · R2
Shana DobsonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08

News & Media

Maryna Moroz · Mariya Agapova
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