UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
14 Jan 2012
Middleweight
VS
66%
Palhares
34%
Massenzio
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:03
MM
CFR 11
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Palhares
Palhares holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Massenzio has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Palhares has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Palhares's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Massenzio has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Palhares
Massenzio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
+73"
46
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Palhares
Massenzio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
11.4
54.0
Performance Avg
35.1
46
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
13
Palhares
Massenzio
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Palhares
Massenzio
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
4.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Palhares
Massenzio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
40
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Palhares
Massenzio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
13
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Palhares
Massenzio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Palhares
Massenzio
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
PalharesMassenzio
Strike Zones
Palhares
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedMassenzio
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Palhares targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Massenzio absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Palhares
RND
Massenzio
0/0R00/0
Palhares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Massenzio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Palhares · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Mike PierceRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R1
Hector LombardRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioRating 5Submission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Dan MillerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
Massenzio · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Karlos VemolaRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
L · Sub · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Steve CantwellRating 4.5Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Sub · R3
Brian StannRating 4Submission
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08