METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
14 Jan 2012
Middleweight
VS
66%
Palhares
34%
Massenzio
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:03
RP
Rousimar Palhares
"Toquinho"
19 – 8
5'8"71" reachOrthodox46 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 22
MM
Mike Massenzio
"The Master of Disaster"
13 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrsSouthpaw73" reach6'2"
CFR 11
★ Official Result
Rousimar PalhareswinsSubmissionR1 · 1:03
def. Mike Massenzio · UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Palhares
→
Actual result
Palhares wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Palhares holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Massenzio has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Palhares's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Massenzio has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PalharesMassenzio
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Palhares
Massenzio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
+73"
46
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Palhares
Massenzio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
11.4
54.0
Performance Avg
35.1
46
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
13
Palhares
Massenzio
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
4.4
3.3
Style: Volume
4.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Palhares
Massenzio
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.6
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
4.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
7.5
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
6
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Palhares
Massenzio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
40
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Palhares
Massenzio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
13
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Palhares
Massenzio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Palhares
Massenzio
Striking1.3 / 0.6Volume3.3 / 4.6Grappling6.6 / 5.2Wrestling4.6 / 3.6Submission7.5 / 5.0Pressure7.3 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Palhares
Strike Zones
Massenzio
Palhares
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY4LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Massenzio
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY4LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Palhares targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Massenzio absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Palhares
RND
Massenzio
0/0R00/0

Palhares · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Mike Pierce
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R1
Hector Lombard
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Alan Belcher
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Mike Massenzio
Submission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Dan Miller
Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08

Massenzio · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Karlos Vemola
Submission
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
L · Sub · R1
Rousimar Palhares
Submission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Steve Cantwell
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof Soszynski
Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Sub · R3
Brian Stann
Submission
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08

News & Media

Rousimar Palhares · Mike Massenzio
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