METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
Las Vegas, USA
19 Dec 2020
Welterweight
VS
45%
Thompson
55%
Neal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Stephen ThompsonwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Geoff Neal · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Neal
→
Actual result
Thompson wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Thompson at 45% vs Neal at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Thompson's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Neal has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ThompsonNeal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Thompson
Neal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
75"
43
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Thompson
Neal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.3
55.8
48.9
Performance Avg
51.7
43
Quality of Victory
48
45
Momentum Score
72
Thompson
Neal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
7.4
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
7.0
5.1
Style: Volume
3.1
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
40
Head
31
7
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
48Distance31
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Thompson
Neal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Thompson
Neal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
38
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/26 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Thompson
Neal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Thompson
Neal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
75%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thompson
Neal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
ThompsonNeal
Strike Zones
Thompson
Attacking
49 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedNeal
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
49 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thompson targets the head (82% of attacks) — Neal absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Neal targets the head (94% of attacks) — Thompson absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thompson
RND
Neal
0/0R00/0
Thompson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BonfimDecision
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Joaquin BuckleyKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovSubmission
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W · KO · R4
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadDecision
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Neal · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesKO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
Shavkat RakhmonovSubmission
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