METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
Las Vegas, USA
19 Dec 2020
Welterweight
VS
45%
Thompson
55%
Neal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Stephen ThompsonwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Geoff Neal · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Neal
→
Actual result
Thompson wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Thompson at 45% vs Neal at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Neal has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Thompson's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Neal has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ThompsonNeal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Thompson
Neal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
75"
43
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Thompson
Neal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.3
55.8
48.9
Performance Avg
51.7
43
Quality of Victory
48
45
Momentum Score
72
Thompson
Neal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
2.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
55%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
40
Head
31
7
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
48Distance31
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Thompson
Neal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Thompson
Neal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
38
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/26 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Thompson
Neal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Thompson
Neal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
75%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thompson
Neal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
ThompsonNeal
Strike Zones
Thompson
Attacking
49 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedNeal
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
49 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thompson targets the head (82% of attacks) — Neal absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Neal targets the head (94% of attacks) — Thompson absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thompson
RND
Neal
0/0R00/0
Thompson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Neal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Thompson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BonfimRating 7.2Decision
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L · KO · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.2KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · KO · R4
Kevin HollandRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
Neal · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 6.1Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03