UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar
Las Vegas, USA
15 Nov 2008
Welterweight
VS
56%
Hazelett
44%
McCrory
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hazelett
This is a genuine toss-up — Hazelett at 56% vs McCrory at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Hazelett throws more volume but McCrory connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hazelett's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McCrory has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hazelett
McCrory
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
76"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Hazelett
McCrory
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
14.3
48.4
Performance Avg
44.7
47
Quality of Victory
45
69
Momentum Score
20
Hazelett
McCrory
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
40%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
3
Body
4
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
9Distance11
0Clinch4
1Ground0
Hazelett
McCrory
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
6.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
4.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hazelett
McCrory
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
9/19 fights
Hazelett
McCrory
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Hazelett
McCrory
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hazelett
McCrory
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
6.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
4.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
8.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
HazelettMcCrory
Strike Zones
Hazelett
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedMcCrory
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hazelett targets the head (50% of attacks) — McCrory absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯McCrory targets the head (40% of attacks) — Hazelett absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hazelett
RND
McCrory
0/0R00/0
Hazelett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
McCrory · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Hazelett · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Mark BocekRating 1.5Submission
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · KO · R2
Rick StoryRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
L · KO · R1
Paul DaleyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva · 2010-01
W · Sub · R1
Tamdan McCroryRating 5Submission
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar · 2008-11
W · Sub · R2
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.2Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
McCrory · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Krzysztof JotkoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · Sub · R3
Josh SammanRating 5.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
John HowardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan MadiganRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03