UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson
Stockholm, Sweden
24 Jan 2015
Featherweight
VS
90%
Bektic
10%
Redmond
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MB
Mirsad Bektic
13 – 4
5'8"70" reachOrthodox35 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
PR
Paul Redmond
"Redser"
12 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bektic

Bektic is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Bektic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.

Striking split: Bektic throws more volume but Redmond connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Bektic's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Bektic
Redmond
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
35+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bektic
Redmond
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
2.1
48.4
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
84
Momentum Score
0
Bektic
Redmond
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.6
32%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Bektic
Redmond
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bektic
Redmond
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/19 fights
Bektic
Redmond
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Bektic
Redmond
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bektic
Redmond
Striking4.5 / 0.0Volume5.2 / 0.0Grappling2.5 / 0.0Wrestling1.8 / 0.0Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Bektic
Strike Zones
Redmond
Bektic
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Redmond
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bektic targets the head (100% of attacks) — Redmond absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bektic
RND
Redmond
0/0R00/0

Bektic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5L5.0W4.5W1.6L6.2L4.3L2014-042016-102018-062020-09
WinLossTrend

Redmond · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0105.5L1.5L2015-012015-07
WinLossTrend

Bektic · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Damon JacksonRating 4.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo LamasRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
W · KO · R1
Godofredo PepeyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01

Redmond · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Robert WhitefordRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Mirsad BekticRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Mirsad Bektic · Paul Redmond
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